I am engaged in several ongoing research projects that largely share a substantive focus on understanding the role of ethnicity in shaping the causes and dynamics of violence and a methodological focus on creating original datasets through intensive archival research.
The Role of Ethnicity in African Militaries: Generating New Data on Ethnic Stacking Practices
Ethnicity has played a core role in the construction of African security institutions. Leaders have often relied on fellow coethnics to control the military while excluding rival ethnic groups from service—practices known as ethnic stacking. This dependence on ethnicity as a shortcut for military loyalty likely has profound consequences for a range of important outcomes, from combat effectiveness to coup propensity to democratization. Our understanding of these effects, however, has been hampered by the complete lack of systematic data, across countries and across time, on ethnic recruitment practices into the military. F
Funded by the British Academy, this project fills this gap by collecting and coding original data on how leaders have incorporated ethnic groups into the security sector from 1960-2016 for all of sub-Saharan Africa. Ethnic stacking has been a widespread and
important practice in African security institutions: this new data should encourage the inclusion of ethnic stacking variables into the sophisticated statistical analysis of African militaries and their behavior and capabilities.
“The Role of Ethnicity in African Militaries: Generating New Data on Ethnic Stacking Practices”
“Mass Protests and Ethnic Armies: How Coup Proofing Impacts Military Defection” (with Kara Kingma Neu)
Collective Punishment during the Kenya Emergency, 1952-1960
(with Rex W. Douglass, UC San Diego)
In 2011, a hidden archive was discovered at Hanslope Park, Her Majesty’s Government Communications Centre. Known as the “Migrated Archives,” these records were deposited by tranches in the British National Archives at Kew between April 2012 and November 2013. They contain tens of thousands of pages of military and administrative documents detailing the violence that consumed late colonial Kenya. From these records, we have constructed geo-referenced microlevel data on both violent events and collective punishment by the government against Kikuyu communities.
Our first substantive working paper stemming from this data, of an envisioned series of papers, analyzes the underlying logics driving the British use of communal punishment as a counterinsurgency tactic. We find that communities were most likely to be targeted where counterinsurgents were most desperate for information, following a rationale of coercive intelligence gathering: in highly-contested conflict zones with mixed territorial control. We also find, however, that revenge also motivated the use of collective punishment and its severity was greatest after fatal rebel attacks and when government representatives, as opposed to civilians, had been targeted.
2018. “Measuring the Landscape of Civil War: Evaluating Geographic Coding Decisions with Data from the Mau Mau Rebellion” (with Rex Douglass). Journal of Peace Research 55(2): 190-205.
“The Costs of Silence: Collective Punishment and Intelligence Extortion during the Kenya Emergency” (with Rex W. Douglass).
Understanding the Origins and Effects of Military Innovation
(with Marc R. DeVore, University of St. Andrews, and Michael A. Hunzeker, George Mason University)
Military innovation has long been seen as a critical source of national power. Historically, from the longbow to combined arms warfare, military organizations that effectively harnessed innovation often gained a marked advantage over their competitors. Our understanding of military innovation’s causes and consequences is, unfortunately, limited by the absence of quantitative metrics and data on this most crucial of subjects. No existing dataset examines either the factors contributing to military innovation or the impact of these innovations on state behavior, such as aggressive diplomacy or the initiation of hostilities. We are engaged in a multi-year data collection project to systematically fill this gap. Original global data, from the 14th century until today, will be coded and compiled on the nature, development process, diffusion, and consequences of military innovations.